What will be San Diego LLCs decision regarding this project?.

The San Diego LLC is considering a three-year project, Project A, involving an initial investment of $80 million and the following cash inflows and probabilities:

Year 0

Initial investment $80 million

Discount rate 8%

Year 1: Probability: 0.2, cash flow ($mil) 50, probability: 0.3, cash flow (%mil) 40, probability: 0.4, cash flow 30 and probability 0.1, cash flow 20

Year 2: probability 0.1, cash flow 60, probability 0.2, cash flow 50, probability 0.3 cash flow 40, probability 0.4, cash flow 30

Year 3: probability 0.3 cash flow 70, probability .04 cash flow 60, probability 0.1 cash flow 50 and probability 0.2 cash flow 40

Describe your answer for each question in complete sentences, whenever it is necessary. Show all of your calculations and processes for the following points:

a. Describe and calculate Project A’s expected net present value (ENPV) and standard deviation (SD), assuming the discount rate (or risk-free interest rate) to be 8%. What is the decision rule in terms of ENPV? What will be San Diego LLC’s decision regarding this project? Describe your answer.

b. The company is also considering another three-year project, Project B, which has an ENPV of $32 million and standard deviation of $10.5 million. Project A and B are mutually exclusive. Which of the two projects would you prefer if you do not consider the risk factor? Explain.

c. Describe the coefficient of variation (CV) and the standard deviation (SD) in connection with risk attitudes and decision making. If you now also consider your risk-aversion attitude, as the CEO of the San Diego LLC will you make a different decision between Project A and Project B? Why or why not?

What will be San Diego LLCs decision regarding this project?